MATH · IN · MODELS

GraphCast and Aurora share CKA geometry with a depth-wise scale shift

measured in 1 paper

Craig et al. compute Centered Kernel Alignment between AI weather models and find forecast skill correlates with cross-model representational alignment [craig-etal-2026-the-physics-of-ai-weather-models] GraphCast and Aurora represent the atmosphere similarly despite differing architectures and capacity [craig-etal-2026-the-physics-of-ai-weather-models] They propose a "particle description" in which latent variables move under gradient flow toward a minimum of a learned free-energy functional [craig-etal-2026-the-physics-of-ai-weather-models] Consistent with this, processor layers shift from large-spatial-scale changes early to small-spatial-scale changes with depth [craig-etal-2026-the-physics-of-ai-weather-models]

Context

weather-foundation-models, cross-model-alignment

Papers

The physics of AI weather models — Craig, George, Selz, Tobias, Beylich, Matthias, Tempest, Kirsten I.2026 · arXiv:2605.23778